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Duration of untreated psychosis: early intervention rarely shortens it, though it helps those who reach it

Early intervention services for a first episode of psychosis did better than usual care on all 13 outcomes at the end of treatment in 10 randomised trials with 2,176 people (Correll 2018). But in reviews of controlled studies, early detection or early intervention strategies, counted together, shortened the duration of untreated psychosis (DUP, the time from first signs to treatment) only slightly (g = 0.168, 14 cohorts, 2,938 people; Salazar de Pablo 2024) or not measurably (g = −0.12, interval includes zero; in that review a negative g means a shorter delay; Oliver 2018). Only one programme with a comparison group clearly did: Norway's TIPS. In the area with a continuous public campaign together with early detection teams, the median was 5 weeks against 16 in comparison areas; after the campaign stopped it went back to 15 weeks, though the teams kept working. This is one programme in one country, and the areas were not chosen at random.

PublishedResearch summaryPublished Norway; England (Birmingham, London); US (New Haven, Boston); Hong Kong; Montreal; multi-country reviews

What we conclude

Early intervention services help the people who reach them: in 10 randomised trials they did better than usual care on all 13 outcomes at the end of treatment, including fewer people stopping treatment (RR 0.70) and fewer hospitalisations (RR 0.74) (Correll 2018). But on average, early detection or early intervention strategies shortened the time to treatment only slightly or not measurably (Salazar de Pablo 2024; Oliver 2018), and GP education or the services alone did not shorten it (Lloyd-Evans 2011). Only one programme with a comparison group clearly did: Norway's TIPS, where a continuous public campaign together with early detection teams went with a median of 5 weeks against 16, and the delay returned to 15 weeks after the campaign stopped while the teams kept working (Melle 2004; Joa 2008). The benefit of the services is not evidence that they shorten the delay, and the Norwegian result comes from one programme in one country, with areas that were not chosen at random.

What we will not claim

Most studies in the reviews were controlled but not randomised, and they dated the start of psychosis differently; one review found that differences between studies were mostly explained by different definitions of the delay (Oliver 2018). Three of the four reviews share authors (Salazar de Pablo 2024, Oliver 2018, Correll 2018), and the independent review is from 2011 (Lloyd-Evans 2011). The benefits of early intervention services are measured among people who reached them and say nothing about how long they waited. The Norwegian result rests on one programme, in one country, from 1997, described in two reports by the same research group, with areas that were not randomised. The other programmes either had no comparison group or showed no clear effect.

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Programmes that tried to shorten the time to treatment of psychosis

Programme and placeDesignWhat was doneDelay (median): before and after, or area against comparisonSource
TIPS, Norway, 1997–2000 (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/14757590/)Programme area against comparison areas, not randomised; 281 people in both togetherContinuous public campaign together with early detection teamsProgramme area during the campaign: 5 weeks; comparison areas: 16 weeksMelle 2004
TIPS, Norway, after the campaign stopped (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17905788/)Same programme area, two periods compared; 108 and 75 peopleCampaign stopped; early detection teams kept working5 weeks during the campaign → 15 weeks after it stoppedJoa 2008
ED:IT, Birmingham, England (https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4855493/)Intervention area and control area; 151 people in the programme period onlyEarly detection programmeIntervention area: 71 → 39 days (−45%); control area: 31.5 → 79.5 days in the tables, though the abstract says no changeConnor 2016
STEP (Mindmap campaign), New Haven, USA (https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8919192/)Non-randomised, concurrent comparison site in Boston (PREP); one year before and four years of campaign, 2014–2019; 171 and 75 peoplePublic campaignCampaign site: 311.5 → 149 days; comparison site: 324.5 → 430 days; difference between sites not significant; groups before the campaign small (24 and 12 people)Srihari 2022
EASY, Hong Kong (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/26801970/)Before and after: 2000 against 2009–2011; no comparison groupEarly intervention serviceAdults: 180 → 93 days; young people: no significant changeChan 2018
PEPP, Montreal (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/24902532/)3 years before and 3 years after; no comparison groupEducation of all first points of contactNo changeMalla 2014
Camden and Islington, London (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25934413/)One year before and one year of the programme; no comparison groupEarly detection programmeTime to contact with the service: 133.5 → 116.5 days, not significantLloyd-Evans 2015

The delay is measured differently: in weeks in Norway and in days elsewhere, and in London only up to contact with the service, while the catchment area widened. In Norway the 16 weeks are from comparison areas, the 5 weeks from the programme area during the campaign, and the 15 weeks from the same area after the campaign stopped, not before it. Hong Kong and Montreal have no comparison group; London has no comparison group either and compares one year before with one year of the programme; in Birmingham the control area itself shifted; in New Haven the difference from the concurrent comparison site in Boston was not significant; the Norwegian areas were not randomised.

The services help those who reach them

Across 10 randomised trials with 2,176 people treated for 9 to 24 months, early intervention services did better than usual care on all 13 outcomes at the end of treatment (Correll 2018). Fewer people stopped treatment (RR 0.70, 95% CI 0.61–0.80), fewer were hospitalised (RR 0.74, 0.61–0.90), and more were in school or work (RR 1.13, 1.03–1.24).

A 2024 review found better quality of life at follow-up in early intervention services (g = 0.600), but no difference in remission or in positive symptoms (Salazar de Pablo 2024).

These are benefits of the services for people who reached them. They do not show that the services shorten the time it took those people to get there.

On average, the time to treatment barely changes

A 2024 review of 14 cohorts from 12 services, with 2,938 people, found that early detection or early intervention strategies, counted together, shortened the duration of untreated psychosis slightly: g = 0.168 (95% CI 0.055–0.283). Its authors call the impact of early detection on this delay limited (Salazar de Pablo 2024). The studies were controlled but mostly not randomised, and they defined the start of psychosis differently.

An earlier review of 16 controlled studies found g = −0.12 (95% CI −0.25 to 0.01) (in this review a negative g means a shorter delay): the interval includes zero, so no reduction could be shown (Oliver 2018). The exception was services for people at clinical high risk of psychosis, g = −0.386. Differences between studies were mostly explained by different definitions of the delay. This review shares authors with the 2024 one.

An independent review of 11 studies covering 8 initiatives found that educating general practitioners and early intervention services on their own did not shorten the delay; evidence on campaigns aimed at several groups at once was mixed (Lloyd-Evans 2011). That review dates from 2011.

The exception: a continuous public campaign in Norway

In the TIPS programme in Norway, one area ran a continuous public campaign together with early detection teams. In 1997–2000, among 281 people across the programme and comparison areas together, the median time to treatment in the programme area was 5 weeks, against 16 weeks in the comparison areas (Melle 2004).

After the campaign stopped, the median in the same area went back to 15 weeks, among 108 and 75 people in the two periods compared. The early detection teams kept working in both periods (Joa 2008). In this programme, the shorter delay lasted while the campaign ran; the teams alone did not keep it.

The limit: this is one programme, in one country, from 1997, described in two reports by the same research group, and the areas were not assigned at random.

Other programmes: partial results or no comparison

The table below lists the programmes. In Birmingham (ED:IT), with two areas and 151 people in the programme period alone, the median in the intervention area fell from 71 to 39 days, by 45%. But the control area itself shifted: its tables show 31.5 days before and 79.5 after, though the abstract reports no change there (Connor 2016). So the result is partial.

In New Haven, USA (STEP, the Mindmap campaign), a non-randomised trial compared the campaign site with a concurrent comparison site in Boston (PREP), over one year before and four years of the campaign (2014–2019), with 171 and 75 people. The median delay went from 311.5 to 149 days at the campaign site and from 324.5 to 430 days at the comparison site, but the difference between the sites was not statistically significant, and the groups before the campaign were small (24 and 12 people) (Srihari 2022). The authors write that TIPS is the only other initiative that shortened the delay in a community with a concurrent comparison group. This is also a partial result from one programme, not a second confirmation of the Norwegian one.

In Hong Kong (EASY, an early intervention service), the delay for adults fell from 180 to 93 days, with no significant change for young people, but this compares 2000 with 2009–2011 without a comparison group (Chan 2018). In Montreal (PEPP), educating all first points of contact did not change the delay over 3 years before and 3 years after, again without a comparison group (Malla 2014). In London (Camden and Islington), time to contact with the service went from 133.5 to 116.5 days, which was not significant; the catchment area widened during the programme (Lloyd-Evans 2015).

A related briefing: how the wait is spread

A related briefing shows that among people who reached care for psychosis, the mean time to treatment is several times the median, because some people wait a very long time: https://noosinstitute.org/research/psychosis-untreated-duration-mean-vs-median. For depression and anxiety, no controlled study we found has even measured whether anything shortens the time to first help: https://noosinstitute.org/research/depression-anxiety-time-to-help-untested

How to quote this

Finding: early intervention services for psychosis help people who reach them, but on average early detection or early intervention barely shortens the time to treatment; only one programme with a comparison group clearly did: Norway's TIPS, with a continuous public campaign together with early detection teams (median 5 weeks against 16), and the delay returned to 15 weeks after the campaign stopped.

Limit: most studies were not randomised and dated the delay differently, and the Norwegian result comes from one programme in one country from 1997, reported by one research group.

Sources